Monday, April 26, 2010

Cook Political Report Moves IL Senate Race to "Lean Republican" Due to "Enormous Impact" of Broadway Bank Scandal

The well-respected Cook Political Report has moved the needle once again in the U.S. Senate race in Illinois, and now rates it "lean Republican" in the wake of the seizure of the Giannoulias family's Broadway Bank.

From the Cook Report (subscription required for full access):

The bank’s financial problems and its business relationships with people associated with corruption and organized crime have dogged Giannoulias’ campaign since early February when he became the nominee. Broadway’s failure will have an enormous impact on Giannoulias’ campaign, and it is entirely possible that the fallout could force him from the race. As such, the race is moving from the Toss Up to the Lean Republican column.

More on this tomorrow, I am sure.

Meanwhile, the latest reports are that Obama may suffer to appear with Alexi after all during Obama's stop in Illinois later this week, although the tone of the Pantagraph article makes it seem that Alexi is going to be part of the background and not center stage with Obama. We'll have to wait and see how this plays out.


Blue Wind said...

I response to your last post, all I can say is that, yes, the Broadway bank closing has hurt Alexi (for now). However, the link I posted with the chart of recent polls is clear. Despite Alexi losing support, Kirk is FAILING to gain support. That says a lot. It is consistent with my overall view of the race that can be summarized on this:

Kirk is unelectable in IL.

Even if Giannoulias were forced to leave the race, a late entry democrat would beat Kirk easily. However, this is not going to happen. Giannoulias will recover and will win. He will be one of the greatest IL senators in history. Remember me on this :)


P.S. Maybe you should change your mind and vote Giannoulias. It will make you feel better in November having voted for the winner. Just saying...

Anonymous said...

Blue, you REALLY need to lay off the heavy duty drugs. You seem to be hallucinating and, worse, have left all reason behind you. Alexi would be a GREAT Senator? I'm also suggesting that you take that needle out of your backside. Dangerous stuff. Alexi is a joke much like Blagojevich. Once that Trial begins and more dark crap is revealed I'm thinking that it's YOU who should be voting for the man who will bring honor, distinction and brilliance to the Senate. That man is Mark Steven Kirk. Bet on it. I'd say you can take that to the Bank but that would be in poor taste.

Anonymous said...

Cook Political Report or Blue Wind, who can we count on for objective insightful political analysis.

Anonymous said...

Regrettably for Mark Kirk, the Broadway Bank story is going to blow over prematurely, and in the 9 second attention span of voters will be a non-issue come November 2nd.