My my, how quickly things can change. Just a few short months ago, Dan Seals was bursting with joy as the Cook Political Report upgraded the IL-10 race for Congress to "Toss-Up" -- meaning the pundits had no clear indication of who would win in November.
Dan's had a few problems since then. His number one donor, Charlie Rangel, racked up a few legal and ethical problems. He and Tammy Duckworth broke the law by using state resources for a campaign event. Freedom's Watch decided to make a "substantial" TV buy to let voters know about Dan's plan to tax us into bankruptcy. And now Dan trails Mark Kirk by 22 points.
So it's no wonder the leading political pundit in America -- the Cook Political Report -- the same one Dan screamed about in June -- has downgraded IL-10 from "Toss-Up" to "Lean Republican," giving Mark Kirk the clear edge going into November.
Dan took the news pretty hard. So he released a silly negative ad that allegedly contains little snippets of voice attributed to Mark Kirk. There's no context given to the excerpts or video to prove the voice belongs to Kirk, but the hit itself is pretty silly. Take a look:
The Kirk camp posted a response the other night. Frankly, I'm not clear on what Seals thinks is damning about calling Bush "decisive." I don't hear Kirk saying he agreed with Bush's decisions -- only that Bush is decisive (see the Daily Herald's take on whether Kirk usually agrees with Bush or not). Does Dan think Bush has been indecisive? I doubt it. There are many legitimate criticisms of this administration -- I don't think indecisiveness is one of them.
I also liked how the Daily Herald yesterday pointed out that Dan doesn't always "back the Obama agenda."
The ad doesn't tell voters anything about Dan. And it doesn't really ding Kirk beyond a photo of him with Bush. It appears to be the last gasp from a dying campaign -- it's heartbreaking to watch.