We have been saying this all along, but Chris Cillizza of the Washington Post matter-of-factly predicts that Congressman Mark Kirk will win the GOP primary for the U.S. Senate race:
On the GOP side, Rep. Mark Kirk will win. Patrick Hughes, a conservative businessman, could have made the race interesting if he had been able to raise money but he, um, wasn't.
Yep, I guess that about sums it up.
FYI, Cillizza also thinks Alexi Giannoulias will wrap it up pretty easily for the Dems:
Sexy Lexi Giannoulias is very likely to be the D nominee as neither Cheryle Jackson or David Hoffman seem to be putting together any sort of momentum.
"Sexy Lexi"? Uck.
By the way, no word yet from the Hughes campaign how their Q4 fundraising went (remember that for Q3 they were supposed to have raised $400,000 but fell far short; for Q4, they said more than a million; we're still waiting...) but the word on the street is that most of Pat's money is going to pay pricey consultants and staff, rather than put it into advertising that actually reaches voters. So far I count one direct mail flyer, one pitifully small cable TV ad buy, and one direct mail solicitation for funds that was so negative, I couldn't even stand to read the whole thing. Interestingly, many candidates face a strategical dilemma as to if and when to go negative (see Dold, Robert), but Pat never had that issue -- he's been negative from day one, since being the anti-Kirk is the only thing he's campaigning on.
So, mark Team America and Cillizza down for calling a Kirk victory. Let's see how quickly the other pundits line up.